BMKG: El Niño will last until March 2024

Jakarta – The Meteorology, Climatology and Geophysics Agency (BMKG) predicts that most areas in Indonesia will begin to rain gradually in early November, meaning the dry season will last until the end of October 2023.

BMKG Head Dwikorita Karnawati said that although the peak of El Niño’s impact is predicted to occur in September, the intensity is still visible until October. “An analysis of the latest satellite data shows that this October the intensity of El Niño does not seem to have dropped. The El Niño phenomenon is predicted to persist until next year,” Dwikorita said in an official statement.

She said, the moderate El Niño level will continue to persist and end in February-March 2024. The beginning of the rainy season itself is closely related to the transition of the Australian monsoon to the Asian monsoon. Currently, Karnawati continued, the Asian monsoon has begun to enter Indonesia, so it is predicted that rain will begin to fall in November.

“The influence of El Niño will begin to be reduced by the onset of the rainy season, so it is expected that this dry spell will end gradually. There are some areas that enter the rainy season before November and some that are delayed, but most are in November,” she added.

Karnawati also reminded the public not to carry out activities that could trigger fires because the dry season is still not over. “The public is requested that during the month of October, the condition is still dry, so even if it is not burned, it can catch fire. So don’t try to intentionally or unintentionally cause a fire because it will be difficult to extinguish,” she concluded. (Hartatik)

Banner photo: Singapore – 8th September, 2015: Haze fills the downtown area. Haze is caused by the forest fire and burning of plantation in Indonesia. (

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